Trends and Teams for College Basketball Bettors to Watch

With 362 Division I college basketball teams, research can be daunting for hoops bettors. The high-profile games and teams attract the majority of the money, but if you pay attention, there are certain teams and trends that could help increase your bankroll that have stood out early in this season.

Most Notable ATS teams

There are three undefeated teams against the spread this season: BYU (8-0 ATS), Arizona (7-0 ATS), and High Point (7-0-1). Then there’s Merrimack, Oakland, and Illinois Chicago who can be easily overlooked. Each of those schools has been an underdog in at least five games, and they are collectively 17-0-1 ATS in the underdog position so far. San Francisco and Minnesota both hold 5-0 ATS records as favorites.

On the flip side it would be wise to either avoid or fade SE Missouri State, Grambling, and Georgia Southern, as these teams combined are 0-21 ATS. Pacific, IUPUI, and DePaul have not fared much better with a combined 3-23 ATS record. In the favorite role, Pacific is a national worst at 0-5 ATS.

A Dream For Over Bettors

Arkansas Pine Bluff is #348 in KenPom ratings but seventh in adjusted tempo and 361st in adjusted defensive efficiency. They have seen all seven of their games go over the total. UTSA and Missouri State both stand out at 5-0 to the over as favorites. William & Mary, Wofford, and Arkansas Little Rock are each 6-0 over the total when in an underdog role.

How Low Can They Go? 

Oddsmakers have struggled to set totals low enough for South Florida games, as all six of their Division I games have fallen under the total, making them the only team yet to play an over. Meanwhile, eight teams, including Houston, Towson, San Francisco, Colgate, Long Island, Michigan State, Rutgers, and Jacksonville State, combine for an 8-58 over/under record.

Finding Value In Top-25 Matchups

High-profile games attract more attention, making it harder to find an edge, but sportsbooks often set higher betting limits for these contests. Purdue excels at 3-0 ATS against ranked opponents this season, whereas Tennessee struggles at 0-3 ATS in similar situations. North Carolina trends at 3-0 over the total against ranked foes, while Michigan State’s games against ranked opponents have gone under iin each of their three contests.

Hopefully, you find this helpful information and best of luck with your college basketball bets!

2023 American League Championship Preview: Rangers vs Astros

The Houston Astros and Texas Rangers will face off in the 2023 American League Championship Series, with Game 1 set for Sunday at Minute Maid Park in Houston. The Astros are the defending World Series champions, seeking their fifth ALCS title in the past seven years. The Rangers are making their first ALCS appearance since 2011.

Both teams finished the regular season with a record of 90-72, but the Astros won the AL West division title due to their 9-4 head-to-head record against the Rangers. The Astros also have a slight edge in the pitching matchup for Game 1, as Justin Verlander is scheduled to start for Houston. Verlander is 10-2 with a 2.03 ERA against the Rangers since 2018. 

The Astros have a deep and balanced lineup led by Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker, Jose Altuve, and Alex Bregman. Collectively, Houston was third in the AL, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Rangers also have a potent offense, with Corey Seager, Marcus Semien, Adolis García, and Mitch Garver leading the way. During the regular season, Texas led the AL with 5.5 runs per game score. The Rangers are also leading all teams during the postseason with 6.4 runs per game offensively, while the Astros are fourth averaging 5.0

The Astros’ bullpen has the advantage, led by closer Ryan Pressly along with setup men Rafael Montero and Héctor Neris. Collectively, Houston’s bullpen finished fourth in the American League with a 3.56 ERA during the regular season. The Rangers’ bullpen was one of the team’s weaknesses, ranking 11th in the AL with a 4.77 ERA.

Overall, the Astros are the favorites to win the ALCS. They had the deeper pitching staff for most of the season and the more experienced lineup when it comes to the postseason. However, the Rangers are a dangerous team and a perfect 5-0 in the postseason during the current run. Texas has gotten postseason dominance from Nathan Eovaldi so far. The veteran is however just 2-3 with a 6.14 ERA against Houston since 2020. There are have been reports stating that Ma Scherzer may be able to return for this series and help the Texas cause. The Texas bullpen has also performed well with a 2.16 ERA during this postseason, which is fourth in MLB, while the  Astros are only ninth of the 12 teams with a 3.60 ERA.

Series Recommendations

ALCS Series Outcome: Astros -1.5 Games +138

I expect Texas to be competitive, but Houston is 37-14 against Texas since 2021, and I expect their experience to be too much. Houston likely wins this in six games. 

ALCS MVP Jose Altuve +800

Altuve hit seven home runs in only eight games against the Rangers this season and has excellent value to win the series MVP award. Altuve won this award before in 2019.

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Are you buying or selling on Coach Prime and the Colorado Buffaloes?

After going 1-11 last season, the Colorado Buffaloes came into this season with both alot of hype and uncertainty. After pulling off a 45-42 upset victory as a 21.5-point road underdog in the season opener against TCU, the Buffaloes are one of the most exciting stories in college football. Even though Colorado sent shockwaves through the college football world with the performance against TCU, there are still alot of non-believers, which presents an opportunity to bet on the season win total. Off to a 1-0 start, Colorado’s over/under win total is set at only 5.0 (-155) on Draft Kings.

Sep 2, 2023; Fort Worth, Texas, USA; Colorado Buffaloes head coach Deion Sanders talks to quarterback Shedeur Sanders (2) after a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the TCU Horned Frogs at Amon G. Carter Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports


Although the defense gave up 541 yards and 42 points in the season opener, it did come against a TCU team that once again should put up alot of points this season. The Buffalo’s defense should improve in time and has the playmakers to do so. Two-way sophomore sensation Travis Hunter had a huge game in the season opener, which included an interception on defense and 11 catches for 119 yards on offense. Colorado also got a big interception from safety Trevor Woods, the only defensive starter from last season’s squad. Even though the defense is a work in progress, quarterback Shadeuer Sanders is the real deal and will make this team competitive in every game this season. Including Hunter, four Colorado players went for over 100 yards receiving against TCU, led by freshman running Dylan Edwards, who caught five passes for 135 yards and three touchdowns.


Looking ahead at the Colorado schedule, I see the team getting off to a 3-0 start after picking up home wins over Nebraska and Colorado State, as I don’t believe either of those teams has the offensive firepower to keep up with Coach Prime’s team powered by coordinator Sean Lewis’ offense. Looking deeper down the line, Colorado will likely be underdogs in games against Oregon, USC, UCLA, Oregon State, and Utah, but pulling off any wins in those games would not surprise me. But even if Colorado were to drop all five of those games, I still see three more wins on the schedule. The Buffaloes also have games against Arizona State, Stanford, Arizona, and Washington State. In a conference with several vulnerable pass defenses, the Buffaloes will be competitive each week.

I recommend hammering the over on Colorado’s season win total, as I see this group finishing at least 7-5 before heading into a bowl game.

Saturday Sept. 2 College Football Picks: New Era for Colorado and Coach Prime

Coach Prime’s debut for Colorado, Toledo, Illinois, Tulane and South Alabama thoughts.

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2023 AFC North Betting Predictions

by David Delano

Here are my OVER/ UNDER win total betting predictions for the AFC North with odds provided by Fan Duel.

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Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 11.5 (-144)

The Bengals only went 10-7 during the regular season in 2021 and went on to reach the Super Bowl. Last year, the Bengals started just 4-4 but ended the season on an eight-game winning streak. Given the competitive balance of the division, to win 12 games the Bengals will have to be dominant almost every week, especially outside of the AFC North. With road trips to San Francisco, Jacksonville, and Kansas City on the schedule and a challenging home showdown against the Bills, I see at least six losses on the schedule.

Baltimore Ravens OVER 10.5 (-102)

John Harbaugh is the NFL’s third most-tenured head coach and led the Ravens to a 10-7 regular record last season despite Lamar Jackson missing the final five games. Baltimore went 8-4 in the games Jackson started, and every game was winnable, including a 42-38 loss to Miami, a 23-20 loss to Buffalo, and a 28-27 loss at Jacksonville. The Ravens should benefit from some home cooking early, as they do not have to play a true road game against any of their first five non-divisional opponents (they will face Titans in London on Oct. 15). I see the Ravens getting off to a hot start, and holding on to win at least 11 games.

Cleveland Browns UNDER 9.5 (-134)

The Browns have only won more than 10 games once in the last 15 seasons, which came in 2020 when they went 11-5. The two seasons since have been disappointments, as Cleveland finished 8-9 in 2021 and 7-10 last season. Under head coach Kevin Stefanski, the Browns have found ways to consistently lose winnable games despite having talent.

The Browns hope quarterback DeShaun Watson will be ready to lead them into contention this season. But we must remember that Watson has only played six total games in the last two seasons and has a 7-15 record as a starting quarterback over the previous two seasons he has played in. Given the strength of the AFC North, the Browns will likely need to go at least 7-4 in their challenge schedule outside the division, which home games against the 49ers, Jaguars, Bears, and Jets and road trips to Seattle and Denver will not be easy victories. Getting more than eight wins is going to take a lot of work.

Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 8.5 (-150)

When in doubt, bet on Mike Tomlin, especially when counting on long-term success. Tomlin has been the head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers since 2007, which is the second longest active tenure in the NFL behind only Bill Belichick. In his 16 years, Tomlin has never had a losing season, and I don’t see that streak ending soon. 

Last season, the outlook was much less optimistic, and the Steelers lost seven of their first 10 games. Despite the rough start, the team never lost hope and improved, winning six of their last seven games and barely missing the playoffs with a 9-8 record. This year, the Steelers should take a step forward, led by quarterback Kenny Pickett, who gained valuable experience last season. Pittsburg also has a favorable schedule, with four games against the AFC South and favorable matchups against the Raiders, Rams, and Cardinals. The team also has the luxury of playing what are expected to be their most challenging early-season contests at home.

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Thursday August 31 FBS College Football Preview

As we get into Week 1 of College Football, four games that involve two FBS teams facing each other are scheduled on Thursday, August 31. Let’s dive into a rundown of these games and my predictions.

Kent State vs. UCF

Line: UCF -36.5

Total 57.5

The Golden Flashes went 5-7 last season but will struggle to reach that mark in 2023. First-year head coach Kenni Burns will lead Kent State after Sean Lewis vacated the job to become the offensive coordinator at Colorado under Coach Prime. Burns’ squad returns just four defensive starters from last season and none from the offensive side of the ball. Even though the MAC is not one of the tougher FBS conferences, FanDuel has the Golden Flashes over/under win total pegged at just 2.5.

The UCF Knights are coming off a 9-5 season where they went 6-2 in the AAC before losing the conference championship game to Tulane. The Knights are leaping to the Big 12 this season, and their projected win total has dipped to 6.5 on FanDuel. UCF is led by head coach Gus Malzahn, who led the Auburn Tigers to a National Championship in 2010. Malzahn’s squad welcomes back six starters on each side of the ball.

NC State vs. UConn

Line: NC State -15 

Total 47

After five straight seasons of three wins or more, not including the canceled 2020 season, the UConn Huskies jumped to 6-7 in 2022 under head coach Jim Mora. The Huskies look to take another step forward this season with six returning offensive starters and eight on defense. The overall schedule, however, isn’t easy, and FanDuel has the UConn over/win total set at just 4.5

The NC State Wolfpack is coming off an 8-5 season but only slated with a 6.5 over/under win total. The Wolfpack welcome back six defensive starters and five on offense. Their quarterback, Devin Leary, transferred to Kentucky, but they did get former Virginia quarterback Brennan Armstrong out of the transfer portal, who is coming off a disappointing 2022 season. 

Florida at Utah

Line: Utah -6.5

Total: 45

The marquee matchup of Thursday night is between the Gaors and Utes. The Gators beat Utah 29-26 in the swamp last season but head into 2023 with only four returning starters on defense and three on offense and must replace quarterback Anthony Richardson. The oddsmakers have low expectations for the Gators’ whose over/under win total is set at just 5.5. 

Utah comes in with an over/under win total of 8.5 and is expected to get revenge from last season. The Utes bring back quarterback Cameron Rising, giving them six returning offensive starters and seven on the defensive end. 

Nebraska at Minnesota

Line: Minnesota -7.5

Total: 43.5

The Golden Gophers have won the last four meetings in this rivalry, each time by at least seven points. P.J. Fleck’s team comes into this season with an over/under win total set at 7.5, with five starters back on each side of the ball. They went 9-4 last season.

Nebraska is coming off a disappointing 4-8 season and will be under the first season of the Matt Rhule era. Rhule has college head coaching experience at Temple and Baylor and went 11-27 as the head coach of the Carolina Panthers. Under Rhule, the Cornhuskers over/under win total for the season is set at 6.5. 

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